Sonic SVM and Manic have open-sourced the Trader Intelligence Framework, a method for ranking prediction market wallets by judgment accuracy rather than realized profit. Built on 3,359,388 reconstructed Polymarket positions, it qualified 87 of 3,638 wallet-and-category pairs.

Lookonchain traced a 2.5 million-token team allocation to the address; separately, one trader reported nearly empty launch pools and a 98% early drop.

Bitcoin reached $79,701.36 overnight and had round-tripped the move by midday in New York, leaving it flat over 24 hours. Ninety-three of the 123 largest non-stablecoin tokens are lower. Zcash holds a 56.3% weekly gain after DCG exchanged 85,705 ZEC for about $100 million of Grayscale's ETF, a swap disclosed in an 8-K filed Tuesday. U.S. spot bitcoin funds recorded their first outflow since Sept. 1.

Solana-based prediction market launches standalone platform with 1 million waitlisted users and automated Chainlink resolutions.

Polkadot rose 16.7% on the day and 42.5% on the week, with Cosmos Hub, Decred and Ethereum Classic all up more than 8%, while bitcoin ended the first U.S. session since Labor Day down 0.83% at $78,539. Polymarket traders raised the odds of a quarter-point Federal Reserve increase next week to 54.5%, a third consecutive session of widening. Brent crude settled at $99.31, its highest close since July 23.

Arkham said Wintermute appeared to be buying PONS gradually; its dashboard separately listed 3.43 million tokens worth $2.4 million.

Bitcoin fell $1,430 in the five minutes after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 162,000 August jobs, five times the average of the prior year. Polymarket traders moved a quarter-point September rate increase from 39.5 cents to the majority outcome inside 15 minutes.

RWAperp has launched the first perpetuals venue on X Layer, the Ethereum layer 2 developed by OKX, opening with 19 markets spanning equities, indices, commodities and crypto from a single account.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would be inclined to support leaving rates unchanged this month if the next two weeks of data hold, and Polymarket traders went from pricing a September increase at 59% on Wednesday to 43%. Bitcoin rose 4.8%, gold 2% and the S&P 500 0.46%.

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