Bitcoin traded as high as $86,355 on Coinbase, its best level since Jan. 29, in a leg that started in the 8 a.m. UTC hour and extended through the U.S. open. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 8.1% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.6%. Perpetual funding sits near zero and the bitcoin and ether swaps trade below index. Of the 125 largest non-stablecoin tokens, 106 are higher.

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Crypto rallied through the Asia and Europe sessions and extended at the U.S. open, and 111 of the 125 largest non-stablecoin tokens are higher. Bitcoin is up 5.8% at $80,829 after touching $81,000, its best level since Sept. 4. NEAR Protocol added 32%, Starknet 27% and Arbitrum 26%, a day after the Securities and Exchange Commission cleared tokenized stocks to trade onchain. The S&P 500 is 0.1% lower.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 to lift its target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4%, and the median projection now puts the rate at 4.1% at the end of 2026 against 3.8% in June. Bitcoin spiked to $76,499.99 five minutes after the release and gave it back within half an hour. The S&P 500 and gold closed lower. Zcash reached $1,383.30.

Polymarket priced the odds of the bill becoming law this year at 12.5% on Tuesday morning, down from 29.5% on Monday afternoon, ahead of a cloture vote scheduled for 2:15 p.m. Ninety-five of the 124 largest non-stablecoin tokens fell as the Federal Reserve opened a two-day meeting with a quarter-point increase priced at 86.5%.

Geoff Kendrick's note calls Arbitrum "the blockchain for TradFi" and puts the token at roughly 70 times its current price by the end of the decade. The forecast rests on the 10% cut Arbitrum takes from chains built on its stack — a line that Robinhood Chain created in July and that has fallen 93% from its peak in the past 10 days.

Bitcoin added 2.3% to $79,164 and set its session high in New York rather than overnight, while the S&P 500 held a 0.3% loss. Seventy-nine of the 121 largest non-stablecoin tokens rose. The Senate votes at 2:15 p.m. Tuesday on whether to take up the CLARITY Act, and Polymarket traders price a quarter-point Federal Reserve increase on Wednesday at 85.5%.

One hundred and three of the 125 largest non-stablecoin tokens were lower on the day after August producer prices came in at 0.4% and the 30-year Treasury yield passed every close of the past five years. Bitcoin traded at $77,120. Ether.fi rose 14.2% on a buyback vote that closed a week ago.

Sonic SVM and Manic have open-sourced the Trader Intelligence Framework, a method for ranking prediction market wallets by judgment accuracy rather than realized profit. Built on 3,359,388 reconstructed Polymarket positions, it qualified 87 of 3,638 wallet-and-category pairs.

Lookonchain traced a 2.5 million-token team allocation to the address; separately, one trader reported nearly empty launch pools and a 98% early drop.