Swing Trading Crypto: A Calmer Way To Trade the Latest Recovery
SyndicatedAfter a rough first half of the year that saw crypto prices gradually falling, the market has started to gain momentum again over the past several months and confidence in a recovery is mounting again. While it’s early to call if a full-blown bull run is here just yet, Bitcoin’s rebound back to $82K-$85K and the improving performance of Ethereum, BNB, XRP, and other cryptocurrencies that make up the broader market have put some optimism in a space that not long ago seemed to have run out of good news. Bitcoin opened October trading approximately 40% above its July lows, after it closed September with a 6.33% gain and August with 25%. Along the way, it temporarily touched about $87K on September 21, its highest level since January, on the same day that US spot Bitcoin ETFs hauled almost $1BN in fresh money, their biggest single-day inflow of the year.
A recovery like this always brings the crypto price prediction back in the spotlight, with everyone from industry analysts to banks like Citigroup, which recently raised its 12-month Bitcoin forecast to $113,000, reflecting where prices might go next. Bitcoin acts as the crypto space’s anchor, so when it starts doing well, it usually picks the entire market up with it. For many traders, though, the question isn’t necessarily where Bitcoin may be headed, but how to become part of this improving market for personal gains. That’s why swing trading has gained a considerable share of attention lately, being known as the strategy that lets investors profit from crypto’s moves over days or weeks without having to stare at charts from morning to midnight.
What Swing Trading Actually Is
Swing trading is a style of trading where you buy an asset and hold one or more positions overnight, for several days, or even for several weeks in an attempt to make gains from crypto upswings and downswings. Prices generally move in inconsistent lines; they climb, retract, then climb again, and so on. The strategy is named “swing trading” exactly because these movements look like waves. It differs from day trading or scalping, where stress is higher because you’d have to constantly monitor the market and carry out dozens of small trades every day after tiny changes in prices.
With swing trading, you make far fewer decisions and are able to do your analysis unrushed. You can check your phone once or twice a day instead of ten times per hour. Practice is still necessary to successfully capitalize on movements because you have to buy somewhere near the bottom of an upward swing, hold it until the price climbs enough, then sell when the coin gets close to the top. But you don’t need to score perfect entries or exits. The goal is to catch a good chunk of the move and get out with a 2%, 5%, 9%, or so – it depends on the coin and how the market behaves.
How to Swing Trade, Step by Step
The bigger part of swing trading focuses on two main ideas from technical analysis:
- Support, the price level where buying interest is powerful enough to keep the price from falling further
- Resistance, which is the level where selling pressure can push it back down.
In practice it generally goes like this: you choose two or three large coins you’ve actually researched, wait until the price drops to a level where it went up again last time instead of buying post-climb, and before you buy, you choose two prices. One price will serve as the exit, where you sell and withdraw the profit when the trade goes well. The other one will be your exit if things don’t go as planned and mark the point where you sell to limit your losses.
Your positions will stay open for days, so keep an eye on the economic calendar because macro events like interest rate updates can impact the whole market regardless of what charts show.
So, What Should Your Swing Trading Look Like in Practice?
Narrow your options down to several coins you actually understand and do your own research. Two or three coins is plenty when you’re a beginner and need to get the hang of things. It’s usually safer to stick with more established coins with higher volumes and a lot of liquidity, especially since smaller coins can fall more abruptly overnight and are easier to manipulate by large holders.
Look for a reasonable entry point. Don’t buy right after a price has exploded because what goes up at some point goes down, and you don’t want to catch the end of the ride. Wait for the price to fall back to a level where it jumped before or for signs that the fall is slowing down.
Determine your take-profit level before you open any position. This is the price where you’ll sell, or sell part of your position, and many people use a fixed target such as 6%, 8% or 10%, or a level where the price has kept getting stuck in the past. And set a stop-loss at the same time. This is an order that automatically sells if the price falls to a chosen level, and it’s your safety net for the times when you can’t watch the market for longer than usual.
Check your portfolio once or twice a day; this is enough to see whether anything important has changed. When profits are on the table, it may be time to rotate.
The Final Piece: Altcoin Rotation
Many swing traders use a strategy known as altcoin rotation, which implies profits or money moved from Bitcoin into alternative coins, or funds that flow back and forth between more coins. This is because assets rarely behave in sync; when one rises, another one may lose ground or stagnate, so money flows from the one that has climbed toward the one that hasn’t moved yet but has potential. This offers a safety net against losses and increases your likelihood of catching the next move, especially if you keep your original investment intact and only rotate the profits.
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