Polymarket Launches Prediction Markets on Private Company Valuations With Nasdaq Data

Polymarket has launched prediction markets on private company valuations in partnership with Nasdaq Private Market (NPM), enabling users to trade outcomes tied to company valuations, IPO timings, and secondary share prices. The integration grants Polymarket access to NPM's authoritative transaction and pricing data to resolve contracts accurately. Early offerings focus on AI, fintech, and crypto unicorns including OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, Databricks, Anduril, Neuralink, and SpaceX.

Initial market pricing reflects trader expectations across the AI sector. Polymarket users have assigned approximately 76% odds to OpenAI reaching a $900 billion valuation by December 31, 2026, while Anthropic futures are priced at roughly 90% probability of hitting a $1.0 trillion valuation by the same date.

Polymarket is positioning the markets as a real-time price-discovery mechanism for institutional investors alongside retail traders. The exclusive data partnership with NPM provides the blockchain-based prediction market with settlement accuracy required for financial derivatives on private equity outcomes.

Sources: BusinessWire | Polymarket (Twitter/X) | The Block

This article was produced with the help of AI flows.